Results of the October 21, 2019 Canadian election - In Place method

Party Elected List for Canada


Party Seats won % Seats % Votes Votes % Difference Diff2
Liberal 157 46.45 33.07 5,915,950 46.45-33.07=13.38 179.02
Conservative 121 35.80 34.41 6,155,662 35.80-34.41=1.39 1.93
BQ 32 9.47 7.69 1,376,135 9.47- 7.69=1.78 3.17
NDP 24 7.10 15.93 2,849,214 7.10-15.93=-8.83% 77.97
Green 3 0.89 6.50 1,162,361 0.89- 6.50=-5.61% 31.47
Independent 1 0.30 0.09 16,537 0.30- 0.09=0.21 0.04
People's Party 0 0.00 1.63 292,377 0.00- 1.63=-1.63 2.66

(179.02 +1.93 +3.17 +77.97 +31.47 +0.04 +2.66 )/2=148.13, square root=12.17

338 seats with a Least Square Index of 12.17


Navigation Panel for Canada

We examine a party with an LSQ Limit less than -5.00% for the election of October 21, 2019.


Resultant Party Elected List for Canada


Party Seats won % Seats % Votes Votes % Difference Diff2
Liberal 157 → 157 46.45 ↠ 38.67 33.07 5,915,950 38.67-33.07=5.60 31.36
Conservative 121 140 35.80 ↠ 34.48 34.41 6,155,662 34.48-34.41=0.07 0.00
BQ 32 → 32 9.47 ↠ 7.88 7.69 1,376,135 7.88- 7.69=0.19 0.04
NDP 24 65 7.10 ↠ 16.01 15.93 2,849,214 16.01-15.93=0.08 0.01
Green 3 10 0.89 ↠ 2.46 6.50 1,162,361 2.46- 6.50=-4.04 16.32
Independent 1 → 1 0.30 ↠ 0.25 0.09 16,537 0.25- 0.09=0.16 0.03
People's Party 0 1 0.00 ↠ 0.25 1.63 292,377 0.25- 1.63=-1.38 1.90

(31.36 +0.00 +0.04 +0.01 +16.32 +0.03 +1.90 )/2=24.83, square root=4.98

338 ↠ 406 seats (20.12%, 68 seat increase) with a Least Square Index from 12.17 ↠ 4.98


Candidate Non-elected List for Canada

If you link on the Riding name below, then it will show the full election results for that Riding.


Party Riding Votes   Added Member First Past the Post
NDP Essex ON 23,350    Tracey Ramsey Chris Lewis
NDP Kootenay-Columbia BC 22,707    Wayne Stetski Rob Morrison
NDP Ottawa Centre ON 22,049    Emilie Taman Catherine McKenna
NDP Davenport ON 21,341    Andrew Cash Julie Dzerowicz
Green Victoria BC 20,846    Racelle Kooy Laurel Collins
NDP Berthier-Maskinongé QC 19,500    Ruth Ellen Brosseau Yves Perron
NDP Toronto-Danforth ON 18,896    Min Sook Lee Julie Dabrusin
Green Guelph ON 18,808    Steve Dyck Lloyd Longfield
NDP Parkdale-High Park ON 18,777    Paul Taylor Arif Virani
NDP Windsor-Tecumseh ON 18,254    Cheryl Hardcastle Irek Kusmierczyk
Green Esquimalt-Saanich-Sook BC 18,135    David Merner Randall Garrison
NDP Oshawa ON 17,531    Shailene Panylo Colin Carrie
NDP Sherbrooke QC 16,917    Pierre-Luc Dusseaul Élisabeth Brière
NDP Nanaimo-Ladysmith BC 16,857    Bob Chamberlin Paul Manly
Conservative North Vancouver BC 16,775    Andrew Saxton Jonathan Wilkinson
People's Party Beauce QC 16,772    Maxime Bernier Richard Lehoux
NDP Halifax NS 16,594    Christine Saulnier Andy Fillmore
Conservative Ottawa West-Nepean ON 16,491    Abdul Abdi Anita Vandenbeld
NDP Port Moody-Coquitlam BC 16,255    Bonita Zarrillo Nelly Shin
NDP Burnaby North-Seymour BC 15,844    Svend Robinson Terry Beech
Conservative Mississauga Centre ON 15,758    Milad Mikael Omar Alghabra
NDP Kingston and the Islan ON 15,592    Barrington Walker Mark Gerretsen
NDP Nickel Belt ON 15,564    Stef Paquette Marc G Serré
Conservative Waterloo ON 15,479    Jerry Zhang Bardish Chagger
NDP Niagara Centre ON 15,358    Malcolm Allen Vance Badawey
NDP Saskatoon West SK 15,270    Sheri Benson Brad Redekopp
Conservative Trois-Rivières QC 15,192    Yves Lévesque Louise Charbonneau
NDP London West ON 15,010    Shawna Lewkowitz Kate Young
NDP Hamilton East-Stoney C ON 14,814    Nick Milanovic Bob Bratina
Conservative South Shore-St. Margar NS 14,744    Rick Perkins Bernadette Jordan
NDP Regina-Lewvan SK 14,454    Jigar Patel Warren Steinley
Green Beauséjour NB 14,251    Laura Reinsborough Dominic LeBlanc
Conservative Vancouver South BC 14,222    Wai Young Harjit S. Sajjan
NDP Dartmouth-Cole Harbour NS 14,220    Emma Norton Darren Fisher
Green Kitchener Centre ON 14,215    Mike Morrice Raj Saini
Green West Vancouver-Sunshin BC 14,099    Dana Taylor Patrick Weiler
Conservative Saint John-Rothesay NB 14,006    Rodney Weston Wayne Long
NDP London North Centre ON 13,924    Dirka Prout Peter Fragiskatos
Conservative Brampton North ON 13,895    Arpan Khanna Ruby Sahota
NDP Saskatoon-University SK 13,787    Claire Card Corey Tochor
NDP Sudbury ON 13,766    Beth Mairs Paul Lefebvre
Conservative Brampton South ON 13,753    Ramandeep Brar Sonia Sidhu
NDP Durham ON 13,144    Sarah Whalen-Wright Erin O'Toole
NDP Brampton East ON 13,077    Saranjit Singh Maninder Sidhu
NDP Coquitlam-Port Coquitl BC 13,073    Christina Gower Ron McKinnon
NDP Ottawa-Vanier ON 13,034    Stéphanie Mercier Mona Fortier
NDP Laurier-Sainte-Marie QC 12,994    Nimâ Machouf Steven Guilbeault
NDP Brantford-Brant ON 12,972    Sabrina Sawyer Phil McColeman
NDP Rimouski-Neigette-Témi QC 12,916    Guy Caron Maxime Blanchette-J
Conservative Beauport-Limoilou QC 12,883    Alupa Clarke Julie Vignola
Green Cowichan-Malahat-Langf BC 12,880    Lydia Hwitsum Alistair MacGregor
NDP Pitt Meadows-Maple Rid BC 12,802    John Mogk Marc Dalton
Conservative Bonavista-Burin-Trinit NL 12,697    Sharon Vokey Churence Rogers
Conservative Brampton West ON 12,659    Murarilal Thapliyal Kamal Khera
NDP Vancouver Centre BC 12,582    Breen Ouellette Hedy Fry
Conservative Toronto-St. Paul's ON 12,579    Jae Truesdell Carolyn Bennett
Conservative Avalon NL 12,538    Matthew Chapman Kenneth McDonald
NDP Sarnia-Lambton ON 12,372    Adam Kilner Marilyn Gladu
Conservative Nipissing-Timiskaming ON 12,332    Jordy Carr Anthony Rota
NDP Saskatoon-Grasswood SK 12,310    Erika Ritchie Kevin Waugh
NDP Niagara Falls ON 12,264    Brian Barker Tony Baldinelli
NDP St. Catharines ON 12,252    Dennis Van Meer Chris Bittle
NDP Spadina-Fort York ON 12,227    Diana Yoon Adam Vaughan
Conservative Moncton-Riverview-Diep NB 12,190    Sylvie Godin-Chares Ginette Petitpas Ta
NDP Oxford ON 12,188    Matthew Chambers Dave MacKenzie
NDP University-Rosedale ON 11,996    Melissa Jean-Baptis Chrystia Freeland
Conservative Thunder Bay-Rainy Rive ON 11,984    Linda Rydholm Marcus Powlowski
Conservative Kings-Hants NS 11,905    Martha MacQuarrie Kody Blois

Non-elected Total 1,020,922